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VercelVercel

Staff Applied Scientist, Financial Forecasting

Leads the architecture and productionization of advanced consumption forecasting systems supporting financial planning, infrastructure capacity, and executive decisions. Requires staff-level technical leadership, deep time-series and causal modeling expertise, and strong Python and SQL skills.

About the job

Responsibilities

  • Architect and own end-to-end consumption forecasting ML systems across compute, bandwidth, edge functions, storage, and emerging products.
  • Design and productionize advanced time-series forecasting approaches, including deep learning, probabilistic/Bayesian, hierarchical, and hybrid statistical-ML architectures.
  • Develop multi-horizon forecasts for operational, quarterly, and long-range planning, reconciling predictions across account, cohort, segment, and global levels.
  • Build infrastructure for backtesting, monitoring, drift detection, and forecast explainability.
  • Develop scenario simulation and causal inference frameworks for pricing changes, packaging adjustments, and product launches.
  • Partner with Finance leadership on board-level reporting and revenue planning, and with Infrastructure Engineering on capacity planning and cost optimization.
  • Model adoption curves, expansion dynamics, and usage drivers with Product and GTM teams.
  • Set ML methodology, experimentation, and measurement standards; mentor senior data scientists and ML engineers.

Requirements

  • 8+ years of experience in machine learning, data science, or applied statistics, with staff- or principal-level experience.
  • Advanced time-series forecasting and ML modeling expertise, including deep learning forecasting architectures, Bayesian/probabilistic modeling, and hierarchical reconciliation.
  • Experience architecting and productionizing ML systems at scale, including training, serving, monitoring, and retraining infrastructure.
  • Strong Python and SQL proficiency and experience with large-scale usage and billing datasets.
  • Strong grounding in causal inference and experimentation design.
  • Experience setting technical direction and partnering with Finance or executive leadership on planning cycles.
  • Technical leadership experience, including setting standards, mentoring senior individual contributors, and influencing organizational ML practices.
  • Ability to define ambiguous, high-stakes problems autonomously and communicate advanced ML concepts to non-technical audiences.
  • Experience with cloud infrastructure, developer tools, or consumption-based revenue models.

Nice to Have

  • Capacity planning or cost modeling experience at scale.
  • Experience with Snowflake, Delta Lake, dbt, Airflow, feature stores, or MLOps tooling.
  • Experience as a technical lead for a data science or ML team without formal management authority.

Compensation and Benefits

  • San Francisco, CA base pay range: $250,000–$330,000.
  • Competitive compensation package, including equity.
  • Inclusive healthcare package.
  • Mentorship and professional development opportunities, including industry events.
  • Flexible time off.
  • Company-provided equipment and a work-from-home budget.

Skills

Python, SQL, Time-Series Forecasting, Deep Learning, Bayesian Modeling, Probabilistic Modeling, Hierarchical Reconciliation, Causal Inference, Experimentation Design, Machine Learning, Snowflake, Delta Lake, dbt, Airflow, MLOps

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