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AnthropicAnthropicSan Francisco, CA

Transformative AI Research Economist, Economic Research 

Builds macroeconomic models and scenario-based forecasting tools for transformative AI impacts on growth, labor markets, and income distribution. Requires PhD in Economics, expertise in macro modeling, computational methods, and grounding in real-world AI usage data.

300k – 405k
HybridAI Research

About the role

Responsibilities

  • Build macroeconomic models of transformative AI spanning growth, labor markets, and income distribution
  • Develop and maintain scenario-based forecasting tools; publish forecasts for GDP, productivity, and unemployment under a range of AI-capability trajectories
  • Ground macroeconomic projections in microeconomic data from the Anthropic Economic Index, constraining theory with observed patterns of adoption and task transformation
  • Analyze questions of income distribution and economic governance under transformative-AI scenarios
  • Contribute to the development of AI-powered research tools for economics
  • Contribute to Economic Index Reports and publish Research Briefs on first-order questions as they arise
  • Build and maintain relationships with academic institutions, policy think tanks, and other research partners
  • Amplify external engagement through research publications, policy briefs, and presentations to diverse stakeholders

You May Be a Good Fit If You Have

  • PhD in Economics, or an exceptional candidate close to completion
  • Background in macroeconomics, growth theory, or public finance ideally with exposure to task-based frameworks and labor economics
  • A research record that engages seriously with the possibility of transformative AI
  • Relevant experience in: macroeconomic modeling and structural estimation; scenario-based and time-series forecasting; task-based approaches to technological change; computational methods, agent-based modeling, or large-scale simulation; income distribution and inequality; using large language models in the research workflow
  • Technical skills including: proficiency in Python, Julia, or similar for computational economics; facility with AI coding agents as part of a research workflow; comfort learning new technical tools and frameworks
  • Demonstrated ability to lead research projects from conception to publication; ship on tight timelines and revise in public as new data arrives; communicate technical findings to diverse audiences
  • Strong interest in ensuring AI development benefits humanity

Skills

PythonJuliaMacroeconomicsGrowth TheoryStructural EstimationScenario ForecastingComputational EconomicsAgent-Based ModelingLLMsTime-Series Forecasting

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