Senior Product Manager, Sports Predictions
Underdog is seeking a Senior Product Manager to own the end-to-end market lifecycle for their sports predictions product. This role involves shaping market pricing, structuring, and evolution, and driving bet mix strategy using analytics.
About the role
- Own the end-to-end market lifecycle — creation, management, grading, and settlement — across all Underdog prediction surfaces, so markets are accurate, timely, and operationally sound at scale.
- Centralize and orchestrate market data across Underdog Fantasy, Underdog Exchange, Crypto.com, and their respective RFQ market centers, making a complex multi-venue system feel coherent.
- Shape how markets are priced, structured, and evolved over time in close partnership with the Exchange team — this means getting into probability modeling and prediction market mechanics, not just surface-level product decisions.
- Own the live and in-game product experience from pre-game slate construction through real-time market updates, live line movement, and in-play editing as games unfold.
- Drive bet mix strategy using A/B tests and analytics — understanding what players are picking, why, and how to continuously improve market quality and engagement.
Who you are
- You've worked inside a sportsbook, DFS platform, or predictions product and know what the back end actually looks like — grading logic, settlement flows, and congestion management aren't new concepts to you.
- You've shipped a live betting product and understand what managing markets in real time actually requires — including what breaks and how to build for it.
- You've worked directly with sports data feeds (SportRadar or similar) and have an intuitive sense of how sports data is structured and what you can do with it.
- You write clearly and can align stakeholders, draft sharp specs, and keep things moving in a high-volume environment without losing the thread.
- You're fluent enough in A/B testing and product analytics to own your own experiments and draw real conclusions from them.
- You're a genuine sports fan who cares about getting the details right.
Even better if you have
- Experience working across multiple market venues or exchange-style products.
- Exposure to RFQ or exchange-style pricing mechanics.
- Familiarity with probability and prediction market concepts.
What we can offer you:
- Unlimited PTO for full-time employees (we're extremely flexible with the exception of the first few weeks before & into the NFL season)
- 16 weeks of fully paid parental leave
- Home office stipend
- A connected virtual-first culture with a highly engaged distributed workforce
- 5% 401k match, FSA, company paid health, dental, vision plan options for employees and dependents
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