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MixpanelMixpanelSan Francisco, CA

Senior Data Scientist, AI Product Insights

Develops rigorous statistical and causal models powering Mixpanel’s AI-driven product insights, including forecasting, simulation, retention, and cohort detection. Requires 5+ years of applied statistical modeling experience, strong Python and SQL skills, and expertise in causal inference.

226k – 266k/yr
Hybrid5+ YOEData Science

About the role

Responsibilities

  • Own the end-to-end analytical design for Signals, Forecasting, Simulation, and Cohort Detection, including methodology selection, statistical validation, and iteration based on results.
  • Assess data quality and trust prerequisites before extending forecasting or predictive features to customers.
  • Design and apply causal inference methods to establish which user behaviors drive downstream business outcomes.
  • Build and own time-series forecasting models that project KPI trajectories against goals, extending TimesFM into customer-facing forecasting features.
  • Build survival analysis and retention models supporting Signals and Simulation outputs.
  • Develop statistically sound and interpretable clustering and behavioral similarity approaches for Cohort Detection.
  • Document methodologies, assumptions, validation approaches, and expected output behavior for reliable engineering implementation.
  • Review production results against expected statistical behavior and partner with engineers on edge cases and anomalies.
  • Establish rigor around statistical significance, multiple-testing correction, and uncertainty quantification.
  • Work cross-functionally with Finance and Data Science to ground analytical outputs in business outcomes.
  • Communicate findings and methodology clearly to Product and Engineering.

Requirements

  • MS or PhD in Statistics, Economics, Mathematics, or a related quantitative field, or equivalent industry experience with demonstrated causal inference expertise.
  • 5+ years of experience applying statistical modeling to real-world product or business problems.
  • Hands-on causal inference experience, including methods such as propensity score matching, regression discontinuity, difference-in-differences, or instrumental variables.
  • Experience with survival analysis or retention modeling, such as Cox proportional hazards or Kaplan-Meier.
  • Strong Python fluency across the analytical stack, including statsmodels, scikit-learn, pandas, and equivalent libraries for survival analysis, clustering, and time-series modeling.
  • Experience with time-series forecasting methods, including classical approaches such as ARIMA and exponential smoothing and/or modern foundation models such as TimesFM or Chronos.
  • Experience with clustering and similarity methods applied to behavioral or user data.
  • Strong statistical communication skills.
  • SQL fluency for data access, exploration, and validation.
  • Comfort working in a product environment where analytical rigor and practical delivery go hand in hand.

Nice-to-Haves

  • Experience with large-scale behavioral event data, product analytics, or growth.
  • Familiarity with feature engineering from raw event streams.
  • Experience with structural equation modeling or causal DAGs for multi-metric impact modeling.
  • Familiarity with productionizing offline batch analyses.
  • Comfort working directly in a production codebase alongside engineers.
  • Experience at an analytics, observability, or growth platform.
  • Experience evaluating or grounding LLM-generated explanations or recommendations against statistical outputs.
  • Comfort using AI coding tools such as Claude Code or Cursor.

Compensation and Benefits

  • Total target cash compensation includes base compensation and variable compensation in the form of either a company bonus or commissions.
  • Variable compensation type is determined by role and level.
  • Eligible for equity consideration and other benefits.

Skills

PythonSQLCausal Inferencesurvival analysistime-series forecastingarimatimesfmscikit-learnpandasstatsmodelsclusteringkaplan-meierregression discontinuitydifference-in-differencesinstrumental variables

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